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Global Bias-corrected Seasonal Forecast (SEAS5-BCSD) Archive 1981 To 2024 For Precipitation And Temperature

Seasonal forecasts provide valuable insights into upcoming conditions, offering forecast horizons of up to seven months. However, uncorrected seasonal forecasts often exhibit substantial biases and drifts, when compared to reference data like, e.g., ERA5. This makes post-processing essential for their use in analysis and downstream modelling.

This dataset provides bias-corrected and downscaled seasonal forecasts from the ECMWF SEAS5 system for precipitation and 2-meter temperature, covering the global land surface at 0.25° resolution. Using the Bias Correction and Spatial Disaggregation (BCSD) method, forecasts are corrected for biases and temporal drifts and include all SEAS5 ensemble members over the full hindcast period (1981–2016) and until 2024. The dataset supports lead times up to seven months and is suitable for a wide range of applications in water, energy, and agricultural sectors. Forecast quality has been evaluated using Brier Skill Scores and CRPSS, showing strong skill for temperature across most regions and for precipitation in tropical and humid areas.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2026-01-12
Edition

1

Citation identifier
SEAS5-BCSD
Citation identifier
doi:10.26050/WDCC/SEAS5-BCSD
Principal investigator
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Jan Niklas Weber
not filled
Author
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Jan Niklas Weber
not filled
Author
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Christof Lorenz
not filled
Author
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Dr. Tanja Christina Schober
not filled
Author
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Dr. Harald Kunstmann
not filled
Publisher
  WDCC
Point of contact
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Jan Niklas Weber
not filled
Point of contact
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Christof Lorenz
not filled
Name

NetCDF

Keywords
  • ECMWF SEAS5

Keywords
  • ERA5

Keywords
  • bias-correction

Keywords
  • seasonal forecasts

Use limitation

CC-BY-4.0: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Language

eng; USA

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S
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Begin date
1981-01-01
End date
2025-06-30
Supplemental Information

info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/BMFTR//02WGR1642C/DE//OUTLAST

Distribution format
  • NetCDF ()

Transfer size
60002
OnLine resource
https://www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acronym=SEAS5-BCSD
Hierarchy level
collection
Attribute description
forecast_period
Descriptor

not filled; unit: month

Attribute description
air_temperature
Descriptor

Air temperature is the bulk temperature of the air, not the surface (skin) temperature. [CF-Standard Name]; unit: K

Attribute description
forecast_reference_time
Descriptor

not filled; unit: day

Attribute description
precipitation_flux
Descriptor

In accordance with common usage in geophysical disciplines, "flux" implies per unit area, called "flux density" in physics. [CF-Standard Name]; unit: mm d-1

File identifier
wdc-climate.de:5369676 XML
Metadata language

eng; USA

Hierarchy level
collection
Hierarchy level name

SEAS5-BCSD

Date stamp
2025-12-17T11:13:23
Metadata standard name

ISO 19115

Metadata standard version

ISO 19115-2:2009

Point of contact
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Jan Niklas Weber
not filled
Point of contact
  Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - Christof Lorenz
not filled
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

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E
W
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Keywords


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Associated resources

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