Global Bias-corrected Seasonal Forecast (SEAS5-BCSD) Archive 1981 To 2024 For Precipitation And Temperature
Seasonal forecasts provide valuable insights into upcoming conditions, offering forecast horizons of up to seven months. However, uncorrected seasonal forecasts often exhibit substantial biases and drifts, when compared to reference data like, e.g., ERA5. This makes post-processing essential for their use in analysis and downstream modelling.
This dataset provides bias-corrected and downscaled seasonal forecasts from the ECMWF SEAS5 system for precipitation and 2-meter temperature, covering the global land surface at 0.25° resolution. Using the Bias Correction and Spatial Disaggregation (BCSD) method, forecasts are corrected for biases and temporal drifts and include all SEAS5 ensemble members over the full hindcast period (1981–2016) and until 2024. The dataset supports lead times up to seven months and is suitable for a wide range of applications in water, energy, and agricultural sectors. Forecast quality has been evaluated using Brier Skill Scores and CRPSS, showing strong skill for temperature across most regions and for precipitation in tropical and humid areas.
Simple
- Date (Publication)
- 2026-01-12
- Edition
-
1
- Citation identifier
- SEAS5-BCSD
- Citation identifier
- doi:10.26050/WDCC/SEAS5-BCSD
- Name
-
NetCDF
- Keywords
-
-
ECMWF SEAS5
-
- Keywords
-
-
ERA5
-
- Keywords
-
-
bias-correction
-
- Keywords
-
-
seasonal forecasts
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- Use limitation
-
CC-BY-4.0: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Language
-
eng; USA
- Begin date
- 1981-01-01
- End date
- 2025-06-30
- Supplemental Information
-
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/BMFTR//02WGR1642C/DE//OUTLAST
- Distribution format
-
-
NetCDF
()
-
NetCDF
()
- Transfer size
- 60002
- OnLine resource
- https://www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acronym=SEAS5-BCSD
- Hierarchy level
- collection
- Attribute description
- forecast_period
- Descriptor
-
not filled; unit: month
- Attribute description
- air_temperature
- Descriptor
-
Air temperature is the bulk temperature of the air, not the surface (skin) temperature. [CF-Standard Name]; unit: K
- Attribute description
- forecast_reference_time
- Descriptor
-
not filled; unit: day
- Attribute description
- precipitation_flux
- Descriptor
-
In accordance with common usage in geophysical disciplines, "flux" implies per unit area, called "flux density" in physics. [CF-Standard Name]; unit: mm d-1
- File identifier
- wdc-climate.de:5369676 XML
- Metadata language
-
eng; USA
- Hierarchy level
- collection
- Hierarchy level name
-
SEAS5-BCSD
- Date stamp
- 2025-12-17T11:13:23
- Metadata standard name
-
ISO 19115
- Metadata standard version
-
ISO 19115-2:2009
Overviews
Spatial extent
Provided by
My GeoNetwork catalogue