Atmospheric dynamics
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Sea level pressure is a fundamental weather and climate element and the very basis of everyday weather maps. Daily sea level pressure distributions provide information on the influence of high and low pressure systems, air flow, weather activity, and, hence, synoptic conditions. Using sea level pressure distributions from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1 (Kalnay et al., 1996) and a simplified variant of the weather-typing scheme by Jenkinson and Collison (1977) atmospheric circulation over the North Sea has been classified as to pattern and intensity on a daily basis starting in 1948. A full account of the original weather-typing scheme can be found in Loewe et al. (2005), while the variant scheme has been detailed in Loewe et al. (2006). The analysis has been carried out on the original 16-point grid. Though formally valid at its central point (55°N, 5°E), results are representative of the North Sea region between 50°N-60°N and 0°E-10°E. The modified scheme allows for six weather types, namely four directional (NE=Northeast, SE, SW, NW) and two rotational types (C=cyclonic and A=anticyclonic). The strength of the atmospheric circulation is classified by way of a peak-over-threshold technique, employing re-calibrated thresholds for the gale index G* of 28.3, 36.6, and 44.6 hPa for gale (G), severe gale (SG), and very severe gale (VSG), respectively (Loewe et al., 2013). Technically, the set of weather-typing and gale-classification rules is implemented as a lean FORTRAN code (lwtnssim.f), internally known as "Simple Lamb weather-typing scheme for the North Sea v1". The processing run was done on a Linux server under Debian 10 (Buster). Both, weather types and gale days, form a catalogue of more than 70 annual calendars since 1948 that is presented and continuously updated to the present day at https://www.bsh.de/EN/DATA/Climate-and-Sea/Weather-and-Gales/weather-and-gales_node.html. This catalogue concisely documents synoptic conditions in the North Sea region. Possible benefits are manifold. Special events and episodes in regional-scale atmospheric circulation are easily looked up and traced. Beyond that, the dataset is well suited for frequency, trend, persistence, transition, and extreme-value statistics.
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Much of what was summarized about the North Sea dataset (Loewe, 2022) carries over to the Baltic Sea setting. To make the current text a stand-alone resource that summary is reproduced here mutatis mutandis. Despite all equivalence, there is an important difference as to gale classification arising from relocating the analysis grid that is addressed in the following as well. Sea level pressure is a fundamental weather and climate element and the very basis of everyday weather maps. Daily sea level pressure distributions provide information on the influence of high and low pressure systems, air flow, weather activity, and, hence, synoptic conditions. Using sea level pressure distributions from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1 (Kalnay et al., 1996) and a simplified variant of the weather-typing scheme by Jenkinson and Collison (1977) atmospheric circulation over the Baltic Sea has been classified as to pattern and intensity on a daily basis starting in 1948. A full account of the original weather-typing scheme for the North Sea can be found in Loewe et al. (2005), while the variant scheme has been detailed in Loewe et al. (2006). The original 16-point analysis grid devised for the North Sea was shifted 5 degrees to the North and 15 degrees to the East to accommodate the Baltic Sea. Though formally valid at its central point (60°N, 20°E), results are representative of the Baltic Sea region between 55°N-65°N and 15°E-25°E. The modified scheme allows for six weather types, namely four directional (NE=Northeast, SE, SW, NW) and two rotational types (C=cyclonic and A=anticyclonic). The strength of the atmospheric circulation is classified by way of a peak-over-threshold technique, employing Coriolis-adjusted thresholds for the gale index G* of 29.9, 38.7, and 47.2 hPa for gale (G), severe gale (SG), and very severe gale (VSG), respectively. These thresholds are elevated by the Coriolis frequency ratio f(60N)/f(55N) (i.e. sin60°/sin55°) over those used with the North Sea dataset (Loewe, 2022) to ensure that gales are identified at an identical geostrophic wind and vorticity scale in either region. G* is a composite measure of gradient and Laplacian of the pressure field at each grid’s central point. Coriolis-adjustment accounts for the fact that the strength of geostrophic flow and vorticity of which G* is indicative also depends on latitude according to Coriolis frequency. Note also that previously given exceedance probabilities of 10, 2, and 1/3.65 % apply to the North Sea thresholds for the period 1971-2000, only. For the same period of reference empirical exceedance probabilities for the Baltic Sea are at 6.4, 1.0, and 0.5/3.65 %. Technically, the set of weather-typing and gale-classification rules is implemented as a lean FORTRAN code (lwtbssim.f), internally known as "Simple Lamb weather-typing scheme for the Baltic Sea v1". The processing run was done on a Linux server under Debian 10 (Buster). Both, weather types and gale days, form a catalogue of more than 70 annual calendars since 1948 that is presented and continuously updated to the present day at https://www.bsh.de/DE/DATEN/Klima-und-Meer/Wetterlagen-Stuerme/wetterlagen-und-stuerme_node.html. (A corresponding English page is currently being devised at https://www.bsh.de/EN/DATA/Climate-and-Sea/Weather-and-Gales/weather-and-gales_node.html .) This catalogue concisely documents synoptic conditions in the Baltic Sea region. Possible benefits are manifold. Special events and episodes in regional-scale atmospheric circulation are easily looked up and traced. Beyond that, the dataset is well suited for frequency, trend, persistence, transition, and extreme-value statistics.
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The climatological dataset was produced using the Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) model, version 4.2.2, configured with two nested domains at 10 km (D1) and 2 km (D2) horizontal grid spacing. It covers most of the South Island of New Zealand and is centered over Brewster Glacier in the Southern Alps. The model was forced every three hours by ERA5 reanalysis data at its outer lateral boundaries. The dataset spans the period of 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2020, providing daily output in the outer domain (D1) and 3-hourly output in the innermost domain (D2). The data provided here are a selection of daily averages from the inner WRF domain (D2; 2-km grid spacing). They are distributed among three different file types containing 4-dimensional, 3-dimensional and time-invariant output variables, respectively. For the 4-dimensional fields, perturbation and base-state atmospheric pressure (WRF variables P and PB) and geopotential (PH and PHB) were combined to produce full model fields (PRES and GEOPT). Perturbation potential temperature (T) was converted to total potential temperature (THETA). Wind vectors (U,V, and W) were converted to mass points and rotated to earth coordinates. ------- Acknowledgements: The modeling and related research was supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG) grant no. 453305163. The authors gratefully acknowledge the scientific support and HPC resources provided by the Erlangen National High Performance Computing Center (NHR@FAU) of the Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU) under the NHR project b128dc / ATMOS ("Numerical atmospheric modeling for the attribution of climate change and for model improvement"). NHR funding is provided by federal and Bavarian state authorities. NHR@FAU hardware is partially funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) – 440719683.
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