If there is a need to regenerate the sea level rise projections from primary inputs, outputs from the chapter 7 two-layer model emulator have to use to drive all the surface temperature-sensitive parts of the sea level projections and to project thermal expansion (see Github repository https://github.com/chrisroadmap/ar6). The specific notebook that generates this data is https://github.com/chrisroadmap/ar6/blob/main/notebooks/245_chapter9_projections_SSPs.ipynb Used outputs for https://www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acronym=IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_SLPr are available via https://www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acronym=IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_SLPr_Supp_td

This data set contains detailed elements of the sea level projections associated with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report. In particular, it contains relative sea level projections for all of the p-boxes described in AR6 WGI 9.6.3 (see sister entries 'IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_PBox_PP' and 'IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_PBox_PPr'), as well as a variant excluding the AR6 estimates of background sea level change (see sister entries 'IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_PBox_woBC' and 'IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_PBox_woBCr'). Regional projections can also be accessed through the NASA/IPCC Sea Level Projections Tool at https://sealevel.nasa.gov/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projection-tool. See https://zenodo.org/communities/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections for additional related data sets.

This data set contains detailed elements the sea level projections associated with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report. In particular, it contains relative sea level projections that exclude the background term (representing primarily land subsidence or uplift). It includes probability distributions for all the workflows described in AR6 WGI 9.6.3.2. P-boxes derived from these distributions are available in the sister entry 'IPCC-DDC_AR6_Sup_PBox '. These data may be of use for users who want to substitute their own estimates of the background term. Regional projections can also be accessed through the NASA/IPCC Sea Level Projections Tool at https://sealevel.nasa.gov/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projection-tool. See https://zenodo.org/communities/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections for additional related data sets.

This data set contains detailed elements the sea level projections associated with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report. In particular, it contains relative sea level projection distributions for all the workflows described in AR6 WGI 9.6.3.2, as well as distributions for the components contributing to relative sea level change. These data may be of use for users who want to substitute their own estimates. Regional projections can also be accessed through the NASA/IPCC Sea Level Projections Tool at https://sealevel.nasa.gov/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projection-tool. See https://zenodo.org/communities/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections for additional related data sets.

These data sets contain the sea level projections associated with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report. The dataset groups contain the full set of samples for the global projections (see IPCC AR6 WGI Sea Level Projections global) as well as summary relative sea level projections (see IPCC AR6 WGI Sea Level Projections regional and, without the AR6 estimate of background sea level process rates, see IPCC AR6 WGI Sea Level Projections regional novlm). The confidence output files correspond most directly to the figures and tables in the report. The IPCC AR6 sea level change projection files are provided in a simplified format but represent a more complicated workflow involving combinations of multiple lines of evidence for the various individual contributors to sea level change. It's highly recommended using the data as provided in the confidence output files to remain consistent with the assessment in IPCC AR6 Chapter 9 (see IPCC AR6 WGI Sea Level Projections HowTos for details). Required Acknowledgements and Citation: In order to document the impact of these sea level rise projections, users of the data are obligated to cite chapter 9 of WGI contribution to the IPCC AR6, the FACTS model description paper, and the version of the data set used. When using these data in a publication, please include the information provided in IPCC AR6 WGI Sea Level Projections Acknowledgments. Disclaimer: The data producers and data providers make no warranty, either express or implied, including, but not limited to, warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. All liabilities arising from the supply of the information (including any liability arising in negligence) are excluded to the fullest extent permitted by law. Regional projections can also be accessed through the NASA/IPCC Sea Level Projections Tool at https://sealevel.nasa.gov/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projection-tool. See https://zenodo.org/communities/ipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections for additional related data sets.

These data sets contain the assessed Global Surface Air Temperature (GSAT) projections and all input data and instructions necessary to reproduce the assessed GSAT projections in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report (Figure 4.11, IPCC AR6 WGI). The constrained CMIP6 projections are based on the methods from three publications calculating the global mean near surface air temperature relative to the average over the period 1995–2014. They are described in box 4.1. The Effective Radiative Forcing (ERF) time series are reproduced from IPCC WGI chapter 7 and included to facilitate reproduction of the analysis. They are uncoupled to any GSAT change. ERF quantifies the energy gained or lost by the earth system following an imposed perturbation (for instance in green house gases, aerosols or solar irradiance). As such it is a fundamental driver of changes in the earth’s TOA energy budget. ERF is determined by the change in the net downward radiative flux at the top of atmosphere (box 7.1) after the system has adjusted to the perturbation but excluding the radiative response to changes in surface temperature (Figure 7.3, IPCC AR6 WGI). For a detailed description of the ERF time series, please refer to chapter 7 (https://github.com/IPCC-WG1/Chapter-7). Disclaimer: The data producers and data providers make no warranty, either express or implied, including, but not limited to, warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. All liabilities arising from the supply of the information (including any liability arising in negligence) are excluded to the fullest extent permitted by law. Required Acknowledgements and Citation: In order to document the impact of assessed Global Surface Air Temperature, users of the data are obligated to cite chapter 4 of WGI contribution to the IPCC AR6.