Modelled non-stationary kilometer-scale hourly precipitation extremes of a 100-year event under 2 GWL scenarios for Germany
Given the importance of sub-daily extreme precipitation events for the occurrence of pluvial floods, it is a key component in climate change adaptation to quantify the likelihood of such extreme events under current and future climate conditions. Such assessments are usually limited by a lack of sufficiently dense and sub-daily precipitation observations, (ii) high-resolution convection-permitting regional climate model (CPM) simulations that realistically represent sub-daily precipitation extremes, and (iii) statistical methods that allow us to extrapolate extreme precipitation return levels under limited data availability and non-stationary conditions (i.e., climate change) based on the main governing physical processes.
We overcome these constraints through the utilization of kilometer-scale hourly radar precipitation estimates (RADKLIM) and spatially disaggregated observed daily temperature data (HYRAS-DE-TAS), and the implementation of a novel CPM ensemble covering the entirety of Germany, obtained from the NUKLEUS project within the BMBF-funded RegIKlim (Regionale Information zum Klimahandeln) initiative. Additionally, we introduce the Temperature-dependent Non-Asymptotic statistical model for eXtreme return levels (TENAX) model, a new approach that integrates daily temperature as a covariate, aligning with observed Clausius-Clapeyron scaling rates. This innovation results in a groundbreaking dataset of hourly extreme precipitation for Germany, marking the first instance of accounting for non-stationary climate conditions, i.e., in a +2K and +3K warmer world. The new dataset contains kilometer-scale hourly precipitation extremes for the return level of a 100-year event. Due to the inherent biases of radar-based estimates compared to ground observations, the
precipitation extremes have been bias-adjusted on return level basis using KOSTRA.
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Citation proposal
(2024) . Modelled non-stationary kilometer-scale hourly precipitation extremes of a 100-year event under 2 GWL scenarios for Germany. https://gdk.gdi-de.org/geonetwork/srv/api/records/wdc-climate.de:5275119 |
Simple
- Date ( Publication )
- 2024-03-19
- Edition
- 1
- Identifier
- PrecExtr100yr
- Identifier
- doi:10.26050/WDCC/PrecExtr100yr
Principal investigator
- Contact instructions
- Email: patrick.laux@kit.edu
- Website
- not filled
Author
- Contact instructions
- Email: patrick.laux@kit.edu
- Website
- not filled
Publisher
Point of contact
- Name
- NetCDF
- Keywords
-
- KARE
- Keywords
-
- climate impact
- Keywords
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- extreme events
- Use limitation
- CC BY 4.0: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Metadata language
- eng; USA
- Supplemental Information
- info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/BMBF//01LR2006D/DE//RegIKLIM - KARE (Regional Information on Climate Action)
- Distribution format
-
- NetCDF ()
- Transfer size
- 6
- OnLine resource
- https://www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acronym=PrecExtr100yr
- Hierarchy level
- collection collection
gmd:MD_Metadata
- File identifier
- wdc-climate.de:5275119 XML
- Metadata language
- eng; USA
- Hierarchy level
- collection collection
- Hierarchy level name
- PrecExtr100yr
- Date stamp
- 2024-03-14T11:26:00
- Metadata standard name
- ISO 19115
- Metadata standard version
- ISO 19115-2:2009