RCM forcing data from the 2nd realisation (r2i1p1f1) of the CMIP6/ScenarioMIP experiment ssp585, conducted with the MPI-ESM1-2-HR on the Cray supercomputer of the DWD Offenbach. The experiment covers the years 2015 to 2100 and branches from realisations of the CMIP6/CMIP historical experiment. The file format is gzip-compressed GRIB (*.grb.gz). ScenarioMIP website: https://cmip.ucar.edu/scenario-mip ScenarioMIP paper: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 Experiment description ssp585: SSP-based RCP scenario with high radiative forcing by the end of the century. Following approximately RCP8.5 global forcing pathway with SSP5 socioeconomic conditions. Radiative forcing reaches a level of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100. Concentration-driven.

RCM forcing data from the 1st realisation (r1i1p1f1) of the CMIP6/ScenarioMIP experiment ssp585, conducted with the MPI-ESM1-2-HR on the Mistral supercomputer of the DKRZ. The experiment covers the years 2015 to 2100 and branches from realisations of the CMIP6/CMIP historical experiment. The file format is gzip-compressed GRIB (*.grb.gz). ScenarioMIP website: https://cmip.ucar.edu/scenario-mip ScenarioMIP paper: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 Experiment description ssp585: SSP-based RCP scenario with high radiative forcing by the end of the century. Following approximately RCP8.5 global forcing pathway with SSP5 socioeconomic conditions. Radiative forcing reaches a level of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100. Concentration-driven.

RCM forcing data from the 20 realisations (r11i1p1f1-r30i1p1f1) of the CMIP6/ScenarioMIP experiment ssp585, conducted with the MPI-ESM1-2-LR on the Mistral supercomputer of the DKRZ. The experiment covers the years 2015 to 2100 and branches from realisations of the CMIP6/CMIP historical experiment. The file format is gzip-compressed GRIB (*.grb.gz). ScenarioMIP website: https://cmip.ucar.edu/scenario-mip ScenarioMIP paper: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 Experiment description ssp585: SSP-based RCP scenario with high radiative forcing by the end of the century. Following approximately RCP8.5 global forcing pathway with SSP5 socioeconomic conditions. Radiative forcing reaches a level of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100. Concentration-driven.

RCM forcing data from the 1st realisation (r1i1p1f1) of the CMIP6/ScenarioMIP experiment ssp585, conducted with the MPI-ESM1-2-HR on the Mistral supercomputer of the DKRZ. The experiment covers the years 2015 to 2100 and branches from realisations of the CMIP6/CMIP historical experiment. The file format is gzip-compressed GRIB (*.grb.gz). ScenarioMIP website: https://cmip.ucar.edu/scenario-mip ScenarioMIP paper: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 Experiment description ssp585: SSP-based RCP scenario with high radiative forcing by the end of the century. Following approximately RCP8.5 global forcing pathway with SSP5 socioeconomic conditions. Radiative forcing reaches a level of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100. Concentration-driven.

RCM forcing data from the 2nd realisation (r2i1p1f1) of the CMIP6/ScenarioMIP experiment ssp585, conducted with the MPI-ESM1-2-HR on the Cray supercomputer of the DWD Offenbach. The experiment covers the years 2015 to 2100 and branches from realisations of the CMIP6/CMIP historical experiment. The file format is gzip-compressed GRIB (*.grb.gz). ScenarioMIP website: https://cmip.ucar.edu/scenario-mip ScenarioMIP paper: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 Experiment description ssp585: SSP-based RCP scenario with high radiative forcing by the end of the century. Following approximately RCP8.5 global forcing pathway with SSP5 socioeconomic conditions. Radiative forcing reaches a level of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100. Concentration-driven.

These data sets contain the assessed Global Surface Air Temperature (GSAT) projections and all input data and instructions necessary to reproduce the assessed GSAT projections in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report (Figure 4.11, IPCC AR6 WGI). The constrained CMIP6 projections are based on the methods from three publications calculating the global mean near surface air temperature relative to the average over the period 1995–2014. They are described in box 4.1. The Effective Radiative Forcing (ERF) time series are reproduced from IPCC WGI chapter 7 and included to facilitate reproduction of the analysis. They are uncoupled to any GSAT change. ERF quantifies the energy gained or lost by the earth system following an imposed perturbation (for instance in green house gases, aerosols or solar irradiance). As such it is a fundamental driver of changes in the earth’s TOA energy budget. ERF is determined by the change in the net downward radiative flux at the top of atmosphere (box 7.1) after the system has adjusted to the perturbation but excluding the radiative response to changes in surface temperature (Figure 7.3, IPCC AR6 WGI). For a detailed description of the ERF time series, please refer to chapter 7 (https://github.com/IPCC-WG1/Chapter-7). Disclaimer: The data producers and data providers make no warranty, either express or implied, including, but not limited to, warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. All liabilities arising from the supply of the information (including any liability arising in negligence) are excluded to the fullest extent permitted by law. Required Acknowledgements and Citation: In order to document the impact of assessed Global Surface Air Temperature, users of the data are obligated to cite chapter 4 of WGI contribution to the IPCC AR6.

These data include the subset used by IPCC AR6 WGI authors of the datasets originally published in ESGF for 'CMIP6.ScenarioMIP.NCC.NorESM2-LM.ssp585' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.institution_id.source_id.experiment_id.member_id.table_id.variable_id.grid_label.version'. The NorESM2-LM (low atmosphere-medium ocean resolution, GHG concentration driven) climate model, released in 2017, includes the following components: aerosol: OsloAero, atmos: CAM-OSLO (2 degree resolution; 144 x 96; 32 levels; top level 3 mb), atmosChem: OsloChemSimp, land: CLM, landIce: CISM, ocean: MICOM (1 degree resolution; 360 x 384; 70 levels; top grid cell minimum 0-2.5 m [native model uses hybrid density and generic upper-layer coordinate interpolated to z-level for contributed data]), ocnBgchem: HAMOCC, seaIce: CICE. The model was run by the NorESM Climate modeling Consortium consisting of CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo 0349), MET-Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo 0313), NERSC (Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen 5006), NILU (Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller 2027), UiB (University of Bergen, Bergen 5007), UiO (University of Oslo, Oslo 0313) and UNI (Uni Research, Bergen 5008), Norway. Mailing address: NCC, c/o MET-Norway, Henrik Mohns plass 1, Oslo 0313, Norway (NCC) in native nominal resolutions: aerosol: 250 km, atmos: 250 km, atmosChem: 250 km, land: 250 km, landIce: 250 km, ocean: 100 km, ocnBgchem: 100 km, seaIce: 100 km.

These data include the subset used by IPCC AR6 WGI authors of the datasets originally published in ESGF for 'CMIP6.ScenarioMIP.MRI.MRI-ESM2-0.ssp585' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.institution_id.source_id.experiment_id.member_id.table_id.variable_id.grid_label.version'. The MRI-ESM2.0 climate model, released in 2017, includes the following components: aerosol: MASINGAR mk2r4 (TL95; 192 x 96 longitude/latitude; 80 levels; top level 0.01 hPa), atmos: MRI-AGCM3.5 (TL159; 320 x 160 longitude/latitude; 80 levels; top level 0.01 hPa), atmosChem: MRI-CCM2.1 (T42; 128 x 64 longitude/latitude; 80 levels; top level 0.01 hPa), land: HAL 1.0, ocean: MRI.COM4.4 (tripolar primarily 0.5 deg latitude/1 deg longitude with meridional refinement down to 0.3 deg within 10 degrees north and south of the equator; 360 x 364 longitude/latitude; 61 levels; top grid cell 0-2 m), ocnBgchem: MRI.COM4.4, seaIce: MRI.COM4.4. The model was run by the Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0052, Japan (MRI) in native nominal resolutions: aerosol: 250 km, atmos: 100 km, atmosChem: 250 km, land: 100 km, ocean: 100 km, ocnBgchem: 100 km, seaIce: 100 km.

These data include the subset used by IPCC AR6 WGI authors of the datasets originally published in ESGF for 'CMIP6.ScenarioMIP.EC-Earth-Consortium.EC-Earth3-Veg-LR.ssp585' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.institution_id.source_id.experiment_id.member_id.table_id.variable_id.grid_label.version'. The EC-Earth3-Veg-LR climate model, released in 2019, includes the following components: atmos: IFS cy36r4 (TL159, linearly reduced Gaussian grid equivalent to 320 x 160 longitude/latitude; 62 levels; top level 5 hPa), land: HTESSEL (land surface scheme built in IFS) and LPJ-GUESS v4, ocean: NEMO3.6 (ORCA1 tripolar primarily 1 degree with meridional refinement down to 1/3 degree in the tropics; 362 x 292 longitude/latitude; 75 levels; top grid cell 0-1 m), seaIce: LIM3. The model was run by the AEMET, Spain; BSC, Spain; CNR-ISAC, Italy; DMI, Denmark; ENEA, Italy; FMI, Finland; Geomar, Germany; ICHEC, Ireland; ICTP, Italy; IDL, Portugal; IMAU, The Netherlands; IPMA, Portugal; KIT, Karlsruhe, Germany; KNMI, The Netherlands; Lund University, Sweden; Met Eireann, Ireland; NLeSC, The Netherlands; NTNU, Norway; Oxford University, UK; surfSARA, The Netherlands; SMHI, Sweden; Stockholm University, Sweden; Unite ASTR, Belgium; University College Dublin, Ireland; University of Bergen, Norway; University of Copenhagen, Denmark; University of Helsinki, Finland; University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain; Uppsala University, Sweden; Utrecht University, The Netherlands; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Wageningen University, The Netherlands. Mailing address: EC-Earth consortium, Rossby Center, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute/SMHI, SE-601 76 Norrkoping, Sweden (EC-Earth-Consortium) in native nominal resolutions: atmos: 250 km, land: 250 km, ocean: 100 km, seaIce: 100 km.

These data include the subset used by IPCC AR6 WGI authors of the datasets originally published in ESGF for 'CMIP6.ScenarioMIP.MIROC.MIROC6.ssp585' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.institution_id.source_id.experiment_id.member_id.table_id.variable_id.grid_label.version'. The MIROC6 climate model, released in 2017, includes the following components: aerosol: SPRINTARS6.0, atmos: CCSR AGCM (T85; 256 x 128 longitude/latitude; 81 levels; top level 0.004 hPa), land: MATSIRO6.0, ocean: COCO4.9 (tripolar primarily 1deg; 360 x 256 longitude/latitude; 63 levels; top grid cell 0-2 m), seaIce: COCO4.9. The model was run by the JAMSTEC (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa 236-0001, Japan), AORI (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Chiba 277-8564, Japan), NIES (National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan), and R-CCS (RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Hyogo 650-0047, Japan) (MIROC) in native nominal resolutions: aerosol: 250 km, atmos: 250 km, land: 250 km, ocean: 100 km, seaIce: 100 km.